Orbital Limited Stock Performance
| OBTEF Stock | USD 0 0.00 0.00% |
The company holds a Beta of -2.12, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Orbital are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Orbital is expected to outperform it. At this point, Orbital Limited has a negative expected return of -1.55%. Please make sure to check Orbital's variance and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and day typical price , to decide if Orbital Limited performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Orbital Limited has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 3.1 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -2.2 M |
Orbital |
Orbital Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 15.00 in Orbital Limited on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (14.88) from holding Orbital Limited or give up 99.2% of portfolio value over 90 days. Orbital Limited is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 17.1848% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, most equities are less risky on the basis of their return distribution than Orbital, and majority of traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Orbital Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Orbital Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0 | 90 days | 0 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Orbital to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Orbital Limited probability density function shows the probability of Orbital Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Orbital Limited has a beta of -2.12. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Orbital Limited are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Orbital is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Orbital Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Orbital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Orbital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Orbital Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Orbital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Orbital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Orbital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Orbital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Orbital Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Orbital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.48 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -2.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Orbital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Orbital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Orbital Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Orbital Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Orbital Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Orbital Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Orbital Limited has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Orbital Limited has accumulated 9.25 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 4.21, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Orbital Limited has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Orbital until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Orbital's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Orbital Limited sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Orbital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Orbital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 15.72 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.13 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.32 M. | |
| Orbital Limited has accumulated about 2.36 M in cash with (4.09 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 13.0% of Orbital outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Orbital Fundamentals Growth
Orbital Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Orbital, and Orbital fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Orbital Pink Sheet performance.
| Return On Equity | -2.33 | |||
| Return On Asset | -0.23 | |||
| Profit Margin | (0.71) % | |||
| Operating Margin | (0.60) % | |||
| Current Valuation | 14.84 M | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 117 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 40.00 X | |||
| Price To Book | 14.08 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 1.33 X | |||
| Revenue | 15.72 M | |||
| EBITDA | (5.13 M) | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 2.36 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 0.03 X | |||
| Total Debt | 9.25 M | |||
| Debt To Equity | 4.21 % | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 0.02 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (4.09 M) | |||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.10) X | |||
| Total Asset | 22.61 M | |||
About Orbital Performance
By analyzing Orbital's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Orbital's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Orbital has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Orbital has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Orbital Corporation Limited provides integrated propulsion systems and flight critical components for tactical uncrewed aerial vehicles in Australia and the United States. Orbital Corporation Limited was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Balcatta, Australia. Orbital Corp operates under Aerospace Defense classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange.Things to note about Orbital Limited performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Orbital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Orbital Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Orbital Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Orbital Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Orbital Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Orbital Limited has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Orbital Limited has accumulated 9.25 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 4.21, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Orbital Limited has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Orbital until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Orbital's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Orbital Limited sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Orbital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Orbital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 15.72 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.13 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.32 M. | |
| Orbital Limited has accumulated about 2.36 M in cash with (4.09 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 13.0% of Orbital outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
- Analyzing Orbital's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Orbital's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Orbital's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Orbital's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Orbital's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Orbital's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Orbital's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Orbital Pink Sheet analysis
When running Orbital's price analysis, check to measure Orbital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Orbital is operating at the current time. Most of Orbital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Orbital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Orbital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Orbital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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